TV revenues are stronger than ever: from €366.8bn in 2015 they will hit the €413.1bn mark in 2020


Florence Le Borgne
Director of Studies, IDATE DigiWorld

since the deep dip in 2009 one sole direction: upwards!



Regarding the latest update of IDATE’s half-yearly TV & video services observatory, Alexandre Jolin, Senior Consultant at IDATE, claims: “TV revenues are stronger than ever: from €366.8bn in 2015 they will hit the €413.1bn mark in 2020: still six times higher revenues than generated by video services (both physical and online). Within TV revenues, ad spending will grow at a tremendous pace until 2020 – It will increase by 14.6% – and will be relatively close behind pay-TV revenues. This is particularly notable because the European TV ad spending revenues dropped hardly in 2008, followed by a sluggish growth until 2015. In order to put in relation: Online advertising (both fixed and mobile, video and non-video altogether) worldwide revenues are skyrocketing, nevertheless they will leave behind global TV ad spending at best up from 2019. With this in mind, traditional TV still seems to have a bright outlook for this decade, both for ad spending and other related revenues.”

Key TV facts and outlook

The global TV industry’s revenue will come to €366.8 billion in 2015 and €413.1 billion in 2020.

Pay-TV revenue will grow by 11.7% between 2015 and 2020, to reach €199.0 billion in 2020.

Ad revenue will increase more rapidly (+14.6% between 2015 and 2020), to reach €178.3 billion in 2020.

Public financing/licensing fees will continue to increase significantly (+8.3% in 5 years) to reach nearly €35.9 billion in 2020.

Breakdown of TV market revenue in 2015


Source: IDATE, State of TV & Video Services worldwide, December 2015

Regarding TV access, the number of TV households worldwide will reach 1.742 billion in 2020 (+9.1% since 2015).

Cable will the remain the chief access channel (623.8 million households in 2020) but will gradually lose ground to satellite and IPTV which will account for 33.4% and 10.3% of TV households, respectively, at the end of 2020.

Despite the development of hybrid TV solutions, terrestrial TV should continue its decline on the first TV set and drop down to number three spot by 2020, with a 20.5% share of the global market.

The development of hybrid solutions that combine live programming on broadcast networks (terrestrial and DTH) and OTT video services over the open Web is a key variable in the future development of the various TV access modes, and may well shake up current trends.

Video revenues

Video hard copy sales and rental will total €10.8 billion in 2020

This means that the global market will decrease by 40.8% compared to 2015.

Blu-ray will be the most common format and help temper plummeting hard copy sales.

On demand video revenue will reach €54.3 billion in 2020, which is 119.6% more than in 2015.

OTT video will continue to be by far the biggest earner, generating 83.9% of total revenue.

VoD will still be the dominant model on managed networks. It will generate €5.8 billion in 2020 versus €2.9 billion for subscription video on demand (S-VoD).

Breakdown of on-demand market revenue in 2015


Source: IDATE, State of TV & Video Services worldwide, December 2015

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